Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 37.040114 40.144215 43.546628 47.583476 52.283531 57.635431 64.268146
2025-05-25 31.991864 35.978015 40.637827 46.588967 54.145125 63.656895 76.961083
2025-06-01 28.946832 33.302833 38.605741 45.715389 55.304301 68.308777 88.362247
2025-06-08 26.529716 31.009102 36.620681 44.415488 55.420620 71.257256 97.789525
2025-06-15 25.650406 30.498719 36.766015 45.826048 59.319050 80.196435 119.192424
2025-06-22 24.371301 29.328816 35.882037 45.635647 60.759541 85.542669 136.321058
2025-06-29 23.077042 28.026060 34.680851 44.813489 61.040772 88.930700 150.945863
2025-07-06 21.782444 26.631276 33.234024 43.459893 60.245087 90.196200 161.470020
2025-07-13 21.457020 26.533030 33.595862 44.863151 64.189114 101.154150 201.834113
2025-07-20 21.023470 26.247204 33.650328 45.768420 67.387734 111.522605 249.734360
2025-07-27 20.562022 25.887902 33.559472 46.411519 70.189997 121.889691 309.908425
2025-08-03 19.943913 25.265735 33.024408 46.251147 71.418027 128.968064 367.886721
2025-08-10 19.202251 24.448909 32.173657 45.533742 71.560368 133.744588 426.612853
2025-08-17 18.465987 23.609592 31.244803 44.610679 71.176445 137.136431 487.663533
2025-08-24 17.811855 22.862614 30.418107 43.797570 70.910508 140.843909 564.493049
2025-08-31 17.118607 22.029174 29.412270 42.586311 69.630918 141.229064 619.221031
2025-09-07 17.003679 22.058445 29.781119 43.900608 74.136271 161.579286 1025.213746
2025-09-14 16.595245 21.622148 29.369114 43.723312 75.198493 171.092513 1444.188803
2025-09-21 16.098721 21.031815 28.675410 42.957343 74.750202 174.980549 1858.270414
2025-09-28 15.535790 20.321094 27.753846 41.694844 72.943905 173.041654 2077.361143
2025-10-05 15.484058 20.398824 28.143646 43.003630 77.737230 200.764968 8265.551742
2025-10-12 15.347182 20.336422 28.291996 43.846951 81.527578 227.819729 NaN
2025-10-19 15.173568 20.208217 28.319442 44.445569 84.795062 255.954810 NaN